The Biggest Risk in the U.S. Manufacturing Boom - Industry Today - Leader in Manufacturing & Industry News
 

June 22, 2026 The Biggest Risk in the U.S. Manufacturing Boom

What can leaders do to drive competitive advantage amid the 2026 U.S. manufacturing boom?

By: Tom Strohl, President at Oliver Wight Americas

At a Glance

Amid the 2026 manufacturing boom one of the biggest challenges emerging on top of technology is a leadership gap. Organizations prepared with clear decision frameworks, disciplined workforce development, and motivated, tech-ready employees will have the capabilities to implement AI and robotics successfully. Leaders in this era should look at automation as a cultural shift, those proactively aligning their organizations at every level can drive strong operational growth.

Key Insights

  • Leadership Engagement Drives Results: Accountability must come from the top down. While automation, AI, and data can accelerate operations, success depends on aligned leadership applying business context, making informed decisions, and maintaining accountability across the organization.
  • Motivation Drives Adoption: As skilled workers retire and technology advances, organizations must invest in upskilling, reskilling, and employee engagement. Demonstrating how automation enhances careers, rather than replacing them, is key to adoption.
  • Long-Term Alignment and Integrated Planning Creates Sustainable Growth: Organizations that break down silos, operate from a shared set of goals and data, and focus on being proactive, through frameworks like Integrated Business Planning (IBP), are better positioned to move beyond reactive decision-making and build lasting competitive advantage.
  • Technology is Becoming a Baseline: Advanced digital systems, robotics, and AI are becoming defining factors in modern manufacturing. These technologies help address labor shortages, improve efficiency, and accelerate decision-making by reducing manual analysis and allowing leaders to focus on proactive execution.

Navigating the Manufacturing Boom

In the U.S., manufacturing expansion is underway. The industry is seeing tangible production growth from a combination of technological advancements, capital commitments, tariff stabilization, and tax code changes. The Institute for Supply Management reported that May was the fifth straight month of expansion for the manufacturing sector. As manufacturers invest heavily in AI, automation, and advanced planning capabilities, a key question remains: do they have the leadership, talent, and organizational alignment needed to turn those investments into lasting competitive advantage?

AI is being integrated across major businesses and operations, helping organizations to drastically shorten planning cycles. Tasks that have historically taken weeks or months can now be done in days, allowing leaders to accelerate scenario modeling and prioritize making strategic business decisions that benefit the company as a whole.

At the same time, both domestic and global trading partners have increased capital commitments, driven by growing market stability. The tariff disruptions from 2025 have become more manageable, and companies can shift from short term reactions to long term planning as the next step in bolstering those supply chains.

Favorable tax code changes taking effect have also accelerated capital deployment. Companies, including small manufacturers, can now realize immediate financial benefits, rather than waiting for future returns. Unlike previous periods of optimism, these combined incentives have led to meaningful growth across the manufacturing sector.

“As leaders are being asked to manage multiple structural shifts at once, a long-term vision is key for addressing the skills gap and making sure organizations are prepared for this next phase of domestic manufacturing.”

– Tom Strohl, President, Oliver Wight Americas

skilled trade workers
Image courtesy of Oliver Wight Americas

Technology as a Baseline

Technology is increasingly being added not only on the shop floor, to reduce labor market stressors, help with materials handling, and improve warehouse throughput, but also in reshaping decision speed.

Over the next few years, AI has the potential to drastically increase analysis in areas such as demand planning, scenario modeling, capital prioritization, and responses to supply chain disruptions. Right now, however, human oversight is needed more than ever as technology continues to learn. Technology can surface recommendations, but leaders must provide context, evaluate tradeoffs, and remain accountable for business outcomes.

Leaders who are going to win in this environment of accelerated growth and technological adoption need to implement a structured planning process, like IBP. By creating long-range visibility, organizations can step out of constant chaos and give leaders room to focus on operationalizing strategy.

Addressing Skills and Employee Motivation

Leadership accountability becomes particularly important as many highly skilled trade and operational workers retire. The loss of institutional knowledge creates another challenge for organizations to overcome.

Addressing this requires more than hiring new people. Developing the future workforce starts with encouraging STEM courses in high schools and trade schools to prepare workers for modern environments that include new robotics, sensors, and AI-enabled equipment. Education doesn’t stop there. Leaders need to invest in disciplined training, apprenticeship, and reskilling programs for new hires and current employees.

Additionally, leaders should build an environment where employees want to engage with technology. Creating a learning environment stems from showing how technology can advance an employee’s career rather than replacing their role. Shifting the mindset away from technology as a risk will drive the use of automation as a long-term competitive advantage. Lack of motivation is more often tied to poor leadership communication than an unwillingness to learn.

Implementing Scenario Planning for Resilience

A long-term vision may appear counterintuitive when changes happen at breakneck speed; however, looking 2-3 years into the future is key. With a strategic vision set in place, leaders have time to define tactics to operationalize their strategy and implement robust aggregate level alternative scenario planning into their regular routines. Consistent scenario planning means that when disruption hits, leaders have already thought through the “what ifs?”

Real-world applications of this approach show clear operational benefits. In one client organization, the implementation of a long-term framework along with regular scenario thinking showed leaders the risk of a potential strike before negotiations broke down. What could have been a costly shock to the system was mitigated. The company pre-built inventory and adjusted the flow of goods through their supply chain  when the risk became visible, not after it happened.

Establishing consistent scenario planning helps organizations identify vulnerabilities, test assumptions, and prepare responses before events occur. So, when disruption inevitably arrives, leaders who have already evaluated potential outcomes can respond with confidence and speed.

u.s. manufacturing boom
Image courtesy of Oliver Wight Americas

Leadership as the Competitive Advantage

The 2026 U.S. manufacturing boom presents many opportunities, however, navigating this expansion successfully requires leaders to move from a state of constant crisis management to one of structured, long-term visibility. By closing gaps and aligning leadership around a strategic planning framework, like Integrated Business Planning, organizations can transform potential disruptions into distinct competitive advantages.

FAQs

What should companies do to prepare?

Leaders who adopt a unified approach, motivate and teach their workforce, and build structured planning processes can grow with the manufacturing boom, rather than falling behind or breaking down.

What is the “silver tsunami” in manufacturing?

There is a current demographic shift in manufacturing. Highly skilled, older, trade and operational workers are retiring, leaving massive talent gaps in these roles across industries. It is up to leaders to address the loss of critical knowledge in their organization.

How will AI change decision-making in manufacturing?

AI is serving leaders as a speed enhancer; compressing planning cycles, shifting focus from reactive to proactive execution, and enhancing strategic human insights that align with company strategy.

What industries are affected?

All sectors involved in the U.S. manufacturing supply chain and warehousing are affected. Specifically, companies reliant on manual data gathering, human material handling, and roles susceptible to retiring workforces.

About the Author:
As President of Oliver Wight Americas, Tom Strohl brings over 30 years of practical industry experience in supply chain operations. Since joining Oliver Wight, he has worked with many companies across a range of industries, including Pharma, Chemical, Oil and Gas, Aerospace, CPG, Light Industrial Manufacturing, and Heavy Equipment Manufacturing. He has led numerous successful Class A implementations for both IBP/S&OP and detailed execution-level planning processes.

Read more from the author

The Real Reason You’re Missing Your Numbers (It’s Not The Forecast) | Forbes, 5/20/2026

How Leadership Teams Can Strengthen Decision-Making | Supply Chain Brain, 2/2/2026

 

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